Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.834664 0.952429 1.080661 1.230638 1.401231 1.589238 1.812176
2025-03-02 0.638346 0.795654 0.982231 1.219769 1.514157 1.867099 2.322613
2025-03-09 0.533664 0.708043 0.927744 1.224723 1.615722 2.113123 2.794512
2025-03-16 0.461065 0.643810 0.885708 1.229108 1.704116 2.338325 3.250402
2025-03-23 0.408715 0.596604 0.856198 1.240709 1.795829 2.568671 3.727862
2025-03-30 0.356176 0.541066 0.806535 1.215036 1.827864 2.713657 4.093293
2025-04-06 0.313321 0.493660 0.761870 1.189237 1.853255 2.846477 4.447590
2025-04-13 0.274114 0.446793 0.712143 1.148877 1.849899 2.932313 4.733780
2025-04-20 0.264077 0.444174 0.729428 1.213211 2.013489 3.285977 5.467159
2025-04-27 0.253395 0.439044 0.741612 1.269486 2.167850 3.636376 6.224513
2025-05-04 0.242329 0.431879 0.749298 1.318165 2.312733 3.981753 7.001784
2025-05-11 0.227009 0.415656 0.739878 1.336081 2.405674 4.246227 7.661636
2025-05-18 0.205623 0.386926 0.706817 1.310553 2.422245 4.384336 8.119080
2025-05-25 0.188699 0.364645 0.683112 1.299549 2.463724 4.569641 8.678394
2025-06-01 0.175919 0.348717 0.669230 1.304831 2.534632 4.812258 9.362256
2025-06-08 0.164350 0.333894 0.655882 1.309501 2.604061 5.056657 10.069044
2025-06-15 0.154815 0.322085 0.647079 1.321854 2.688798 5.335859 10.865826
2025-06-22 0.141703 0.301735 0.619674 1.294516 2.692049 5.456826 11.357920
2025-06-29 0.129875 0.282870 0.593479 1.267045 2.692106 5.570474 11.843261
2025-07-06 0.117666 0.262000 0.561297 1.224066 2.655903 5.607165 12.170868
2025-07-13 0.116921 0.265846 0.580912 1.292573 2.860751 6.155598 13.625677
2025-07-20 0.115282 0.267536 0.596019 1.352497 3.051958 6.690108 15.094800
2025-07-27 0.112937 0.267396 0.607082 1.404330 3.229548 7.209069 16.572583